| Scope
of Work: Task 1.2 Development of Tectonically
Realistic Discrete Fracture Generation Models In
this task, MIT will extend the hierarchical
fracture model to three dimensions and will
develop a reliable inference procedure. The model
will also be independently validated with Yates
field data.
Task 1.2.1: 3D Hierarchical Fracture Model
In this task, MIT will develop a 3D
Hierarchical Fracture Model appropriate for
fractured reservoirs such as the Yates field. The
model will be based on existing work in
development of structural models for fractured
reservoirs, previous hierarchical fracture
models, and Yates field data.
Task 1.2.2: Model Verification
In this task, MIT will demonstrate the
applicability of the discrete fracture model
developed in Task 1.2.1 by comparison against
Yates field data.. The comparison can be
performed via statistical tests of simulated
exposures against the observed data. In addition
to the statistical validation, this task will
include geological structural analyses, and will
incorporate a subjective probabilistic evaluation
process.
Discussion:
A fracture system model will be developed on
the basis of the Yates field data but the
software and general approach is useful for a
wide variety of reservoirs and non petroleum
applications. Fracture system models can be
grouped into three categories:
- Mechanical Models;
- Geometric Models;
- Combined Geometric-Mechanical Models.
Mechanical modeling is probably the most
desirable approach in that it tries to duplicate
the actual fracture nucleation and propagation
mechanisms which have acted throughout the
geologic history. However, only relatively simple
fracture patterns can be replicated by mechanical
models. In particular, the three dimensional
characteristics and the often pervasive
clustering can be modeled to a limited extent
only. Further development is likely to lift some
of these limitations.
Purely geometric models, often called
conceptual models, are more common. Such models
seek to reproduce features observed about the
fracture pattern, rather than to simulate the
mechanical processes that formed the fractures. A
wide variety of stochastic models exist. Many of
them are three-dimensional and capture, at least
to a certain extent, the clustering of geometric
fracture characteristics. Since they simulate
what is observed rather than what caused the
fracture pattern, it is not easy to produce
complete representations from the limited
information from wells or seismic.
Combined geometric-mechanical models consist
of geometric modeling procedures which attempt to
duplicate typical mechanical processes without
explicitly solving the equations thought to
govern brittle fracture in rock. Examples are the
model by Martel
et al. (1991) in which fractal-like objects
are created in two dimensions using so called
Iterated Function Systems conditioned on geologic
information, and the two-dimensional Hierarchical
Model developed at MIT (Lee et al.
1990). In the latter, the hierarchy of
fracture genesis is modeled by creating fracture
sets in sequence and by incorporating
dependencies (or independencies if applicable)
between different fracture sets in this process.
Initially, this model was only applicable to two
fracture sets. The Enhanced Hierarchical model (Yu, 1992)
lifted these limitations. It also added new
features such as linear clustering and the
empty disc model. The former allows
one to model fracture traces which are roughly
aligned along a line but not interconnected; the
latter makes it possible to represent areas which
fracture traces. The Enhanced Hierarchical Model
was successfully applied to represent an outcrop
map of the Sotra site in Norway.
All current models are limited to two
dimensions. Also, so far the hierarchical model
has been developed for completely mapped areas
and not from the usually much more limited
information typical of core, well logs or
lineament maps.
The research in this Task will extend the
hierarchical fracture model to three dimensions
and will develop a reliable inference procedure.
The model will also be independently validated
with Yates field data.
The main characteristic of the three
dimensional version is the modeling of geometric
processes which represent mechanical processes.
The three major geometric/stochastic processes
will be:
- The plane process,
- the translation and rotation process, and
- the termination process.
The proposed plane process represents an
extension of what has been developed by Veneziano
(1978) and Dershowitz
(1979). It will consist of a homogeneous line
network with an inhomogeneous marking process.
The translation and rotation process will consist
of a random shifting of the marked polygons or
parts thereof in the vicinity of the original
fractures. These two processes are used to create
independent fracture sets and dependent fracture
sets. The dependencies can be in form of
orientation - location - and size/share
relations. Finally, the third or termination
process will be used to specify the form of the
intersection of the independent and dependent
fracture sets.
The three basic stochastic geometric processes
of the proposed three-dimensional model can be
related to the underlying mechanics and geology;
the plane process to represent the principal
tensile and shear planes defined by the existing
stress field; the process of subdividing the
planes into fractured and intact regions to model
fracture initiation at the points of stress
concentration; the translation and rotation
process to account for the change of the stress
field due to initial fracturing. Various
mechanical processes may be represented by the
geometric procedures modeled so far, for example:
- the often-encountered zones of closely
spaced parallel fractures by clustering
of location, orientation and size
characteristics;
- the en-echelon or reverse step fractures
as produced by Riedel type mechanisms
during faulting by a direction dependent
rotation and translation;
- the propagation of tensile fractures
constrained by existing fractures
parallel to the propagation direction, by
a termination function.
The inference procedure has two major
objectives: first, determination of the model
parameters from field data, and second,
verification of these parameters through a
statistical comparison of the simulated fracture
networks to the observed natural fracture
patterns. The model parameters which have to be
inferred from the available field information
are:
- the association of the observed fractures
with fracture sets;
- the dependence or independence between
different fracture sets;
- the spatial variation of the fracture
intensity and the clustering of fractures
in space;
- the distribution of fracture orientations
within fracture sets;
- the distribution of fracture sizes within
fracture sets;
- the connectivity of the fracture system
and the termination probabilities.
Various methods proposed by other authors may
be suitable for the inference procedures. For
example, the procedures used by Lee et al.
(1990) and Yu (1992)
in the two-dimensional hierarchical model to
define fracture trace sets and their
interrelation, can be used to determine
independent and dependent fracture sets based on
data from outcrop maps. The software FracMan
developed by Golder
Associates, Inc., can assign fractures to
sets according to user specified weighted
fracture characteristics, based on data from
borehole exposures and other field surveys.
Simulations with FracMan have also made it
possible to establish empirical relationships
between trace length distributions and fracture
size distributions (see, for example, Dershowitz
and Herda 1992. Most of the standard
surveying methods produce data which give limited
information about the geometric characteristics
of the rock fracture systems. For example,
different three-dimensional fracture networks may
have the same exposures in well logs and outcrop
maps (one- and two-dimensional surveys,
respectively), but different, unknown, fracture
connectivities in space. It is very important to
develop an inference procedure that produces a
unique representation of a natural fracture
system based on its observed exposures. This is
where one of the advantages of the proposed model
can be seen. The proposed three-dimensional
hierarchical model is a geometric -mechanical
model, i.e., a model which uses geometric
procedures to model mechanical processes. The
geologic history of a region is unique.
Therefore, if the relationship between the
underlying geologic mechanisms and the fracture
geometry are employed in the inference procedure,
together with the statistics of the fracture
geometry in exposures, it will be possible to
produce a unique stochastic representation of an
observed fracture system. This is also where
another major innovation will be applied. The
genesis concepts formulated by geologists
familiar with the area will be incorporated
through a Bayesian updating procedure. Geologists
will be asked to subjectively assess the possible
mechanisms and to rank them. This information
will be transformed into likelihood functions
which in turn will be combined with the original
stochastic characteristics of the model to
produce updated characteristics.
Once the fracture system is produced, it has
to be compared to the real system which is being
modeled. The comparison can be performed via
statistical tests of simulated exposures against
the observed data. For that purpose, the
synthetic fracture system is intersected with
planes of outcrops and
wells consistent with the field
investigation program. Then the statistics of the
outcrop and well simulations are compared to the
statistics of the observed data. The methods
developed by Lee et al.
(1990) and Yu (1992)
in two-dimensions can be applied for the
statistical analysis. In case of significant
differences between simulated and observed data,
the model parameters have to be modified, and the
whole process of fracture system generation
repeated. In addition to the statistical
validation, we also intend to incorporate a
subjective probabilistic evaluation. This is, in
essence, an extension of the subjective
assessment of possible mechanisms mentioned
earlier; however, geologists will now be asked to
evaluate the resulting fracture geometry and
suggest improvements which will then be
incorporated in the updated process.
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